id
stringlengths 9
20
| slug
stringlengths 2
54
| question
stringlengths 1
193
| firstGroup
float64 | createdTime
int64 1,641B
1,736B
| closeTime
int64 1,702B
1,736B
| resolvedTime
int64 1,727B
1,736B
| resolution
stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability
float64 0
1
β | volume
float64 0
11.6M
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2gN8gPZlIg
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-2lS9E8hA82
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 31 (close at 2 pm EST) than it closed on Dec 30?
| null | 1,735,591,679,923
| 1,735,671,752,734
| 1,735,671,752,734
|
NO
| 0.195233
| 574.939007
|
09R8ERlsLt
|
will-kai-cenat-and-ishowspeed-win-f
|
Will Kai Cenat and Ishowspeed Win Fortnite with 200 or less losses?
| null | 1,735,511,417,233
| 1,735,535,311,862
| 1,735,535,311,862
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
sZZLLsngLz
|
will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-trump-clCZ2ghOd9
|
Will Jimmy Carter live to see Trump become president again?
| null | 1,735,373,324,184
| 1,735,669,973,488
| 1,735,669,973,488
|
NO
| 0.007619
| 1,103.858302
|
05C8A0gcRh
|
daily-coinflip-QESRCQZ5pt
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,735,369,276,775
| 1,735,534,740,000
| 1,735,543,226,356
|
YES
| 0.5
| 5,704.09897
|
2Ru9IA8pgU
|
alex-de-minaur-wins-v-tomas-martin
|
Alex de Minaur wins V Tomas Martin Etcheverry
| null | 1,735,341,258,429
| 1,735,492,487,475
| 1,735,492,487,475
|
YES
| 0.841017
| 130
|
AyquthpQ2n
|
kai-and-speed-win-fortnite-before-m
|
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before midnight?
| null | 1,735,336,445,847
| 1,735,373,071,083
| 1,735,373,071,083
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
usOyER2pEq
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-uhhLs2cCNz
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 30 than it closed on Dec 27?
| null | 1,735,332,484,889
| 1,735,592,533,681
| 1,735,592,533,681
|
NO
| 0.032316
| 509.685859
|
5C0dgySUSc
|
yu
|
yu
| null | 1,735,283,552,593
| 1,735,283,629,243
| 1,735,283,629,243
|
YES
| 0.264706
| 150
|
SsQylqPPSt
|
qqqaaa
|
QQQAAA
| null | 1,735,282,421,974
| 1,735,283,422,448
| 1,735,283,422,448
|
NO
| 0.862069
| 3,890
|
nuqphz9Rsg
|
testb
|
testb
| null | 1,735,281,296,493
| 1,735,281,314,666
| 1,735,281,314,666
|
YES
| 0.665052
| 60
|
AlqtNnuq0d
|
testaaa
|
testaaa
| null | 1,735,281,218,526
| 1,735,281,260,207
| 1,735,281,260,207
|
NO
| 0.665052
| 60
|
9EQ0ZgCUgP
|
qaqa
|
qaqa
| null | 1,735,281,049,677
| 1,735,281,148,151
| 1,735,281,204,807
|
NO
| 0.547511
| 10
|
Q8P0EChhAz
|
test-p6l889CpyS
|
test
| null | 1,735,280,856,185
| 1,735,280,989,915
| 1,735,281,035,631
|
YES
| 0.8
| 100
|
CRRIpglQhg
|
tottenham-hotspur-vs-wolves-english
|
Tottenham Hotspur VS Wolves (English Premier League)
| null | 1,735,280,450,219
| 1,735,280,650,650
| 1,735,280,742,633
|
YES
| 0.8
| 100
|
tIOI6OOggE
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-PS9pzPQRAh
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 27 than it closed on Dec 26?
| null | 1,735,246,075,912
| 1,735,333,324,052
| 1,735,333,324,052
|
NO
| 0.036063
| 761.560905
|
nuhs6Cngl0
|
daily-coinflip-RgclRI02zz
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,735,212,817,439
| 1,735,361,940,000
| 1,735,369,250,576
|
NO
| 0.4995
| 2,334.521486
|
zz0NggOCSp
|
will-dinner-be-ready-at-our-christm
|
Will dinner be ready at our Christmas party before 6:00 CST?
| null | 1,735,163,217,098
| 1,735,185,091,475
| 1,735,185,091,475
|
NO
| 0.257069
| 70
|
8lIpuuyPUE
|
daily-coin-flip-5050-chance
|
Daily Coin Flip 50/50 chance
| null | 1,735,077,616,439
| 1,735,102,740,000
| 1,735,150,501,387
|
YES
| 0.5
| 0
|
UsccPyCL06
|
daily-coinflip-Nhcnpldpct
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,735,064,795,056
| 1,735,189,140,000
| 1,735,212,745,585
|
NO
| 0.5
| 2,784.634856
|
ItQRtPhuch
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-s8IUgzCSSC
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec. 26 than it closed on Dec 24?
| null | 1,735,060,436,678
| 1,735,246,930,470
| 1,735,246,930,470
|
NO
| 0.197731
| 612.885154
|
959c58CLgP
|
will-bill-clinton-outlive-jimmy-car
|
Will Bill Clinton outlive Jimmy Carter?
| null | 1,734,991,530,924
| 1,735,506,588,396
| 1,735,506,588,396
|
YES
| 0.967474
| 7,738.712724
|
q2R8QP6AAQ
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-P2SyhNSdIA
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 24 (Short Day) than it closed on Dec 23?
| null | 1,734,988,145,229
| 1,735,479,764,944
| 1,735,479,764,944
|
YES
| 0.99
| 901.474008
|
ZgshqIRCAE
|
will-magnus-carlsen-repeat-in-2024
|
Will Magnus Carlsen repeat in 2024 as the FIDE World Rapid Champion?
| null | 1,734,987,784,899
| 1,735,413,399,579
| 1,735,413,399,579
|
NO
| 0.012483
| 1,642.428644
|
Pp2QI6qc80
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-uuAq5tQLdE
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 24 (short day) than it closed on Dec 23?
| null | 1,734,986,746,644
| 1,735,063,453,326
| 1,735,063,453,326
|
YES
| 0.9832
| 665
|
Pdg2sdtdCg
|
coin-flip-gPhUlpZUUu
|
Coin Flip
| null | 1,734,913,265,132
| 1,734,917,491,763
| 1,734,917,491,763
|
NO
| 0.486797
| 161
|
Lduc2ELPOq
|
will-anyone-be-hospitalized-in-the
|
Will anyone be hospitalized in the '24 eddie aikau competition
| null | 1,734,898,344,849
| 1,735,034,340,000
| 1,735,268,811,019
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,033.988086
|
ud5p9cul0C
|
daily-coinflip-8uNcSC9qO0
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,734,893,334,768
| 1,735,016,340,000
| 1,735,064,767,968
|
YES
| 0.5
| 3,611.273261
|
ZQE5PPPd8S
|
will-my-next-visit-to-mcdonalds-fin
|
Will I successfully purchase a McFlurry the next time I go to McDonalds? (fair, rigorous market)
| null | 1,734,862,837,505
| 1,735,662,810,502
| 1,735,662,810,502
|
NO
| 0.612435
| 2,154.924269
|
5lPh00ECcZ
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-sunday
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
| null | 1,734,818,281,661
| 1,735,373,086,523
| 1,735,373,086,523
|
NO
| 0.01
| 3,184.591229
|
A2cLO5qsyL
|
dogecoin-above-030-on-december-27
|
Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
| null | 1,734,818,128,941
| 1,735,320,677,888
| 1,735,320,677,888
|
YES
| 0.99
| 905.224967
|
cASIdPN2cl
|
will-this-disputed-polymarket-about
|
Will this disputed Polymarket about whether there will be a US government shutdown in 2024 resolve to "yes"?
| null | 1,734,799,820,616
| 1,735,100,348,531
| 1,735,100,348,531
|
YES
| 0.99
| 17,878.026989
|
L56qI9NzOy
|
ganare-la-siguiente-partida-de-jueg
|
GanarΓ© la siguiente partida de juego de mesa con los panas?
| null | 1,734,797,521,201
| 1,734,908,340,000
| 1,734,909,551,250
|
NO
| 0.452489
| 10
|
CNPIq6CSEt
|
dalle-4
|
DALL-E 4
| null | 1,734,795,016,336
| 1,734,814,740,000
| 1,734,815,294,957
|
YES
| 0.524376
| 5
|
Cp9Upplu26
|
will-jimmy-carter-make-it-through-t-y6gUSccyty
|
Will Jimmy Carter make it through the Winter season?
| null | 1,734,789,293,084
| 1,735,521,263,526
| 1,735,521,263,526
|
NO
| 0.01
| 945.257754
|
2ypdAQ6S9u
|
will-satish-rao-release-grades-for
|
Will Satish Rao release grades for UC Berkeley's CS 270 by Monday December 23rd?
| null | 1,734,774,426,245
| 1,735,027,140,000
| 1,735,030,125,365
|
NO
| 0.163095
| 1,734.740039
|
ddRyd8NdOq
|
will-the-manifold-sweepcash-market
|
Will the Manifold sweepcash market on an US government shutdown in 2024 resolve N/A?
| null | 1,734,748,674,320
| 1,734,792,749,967
| 1,734,792,749,967
|
NO
| 0.075472
| 250
|
SnIszOAPzl
|
this-market-resolves-to-sgnsinlog2
|
This market resolves to sgn(sin(log_2 x)) where x is the volume of the market
| null | 1,734,743,535,048
| 1,735,621,140,000
| 1,735,639,277,632
|
NO
| 0.27336
| 77
|
NhAAQ5hAlq
|
will-my-baby-be-crawling-by-christm
|
Will my baby be crawling by Christmas (Day)?
| null | 1,734,736,977,415
| 1,735,171,195,402
| 1,735,171,210,645
|
NO
| 0.120111
| 470
|
Uq9UPEd8PR
|
if-drallylouks-posts-her-x-income-w
|
If @DrAllyLouks posts her X income, will she make more than $1000 this time?
| null | 1,734,731,834,706
| 1,735,032,195,694
| 1,735,032,195,694
|
NO
| 0.010345
| 9,795.541597
|
Ql2CAlqtls
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-SUN09ZZl9Z
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec23 than it closed on Dec 20?
| null | 1,734,727,631,240
| 1,734,987,733,168
| 1,734,987,733,168
|
YES
| 0.985541
| 1,866.1375
|
sO9yOucdd6
|
will-i-have-sent-a-longdelayed-arti
|
Will I have sent a long-delayed article on LLM evals by the 22nd of December?
| null | 1,734,724,023,974
| 1,734,821,273,209
| 1,734,821,273,209
|
YES
| 0.952941
| 350
|
9hsszSLlQh
|
will-musk-take-back-his-endorsement
|
Will Musk take back his endorsement of the AfD within a week?
| null | 1,734,712,008,551
| 1,735,340,340,000
| 1,735,394,452,925
|
NO
| 0.010038
| 887.925225
|
sRuSz59EsL
|
-1-2025
|
ΠΠ°Π»ΠΈ ΠΠ°Π½Π΅Π»Π° ΡΠ΅ Π³ΠΎ ΠΎΡΡΠ°Π²ΠΈ Π‘ΠΊΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅ Π±Π΅Π· Π²ΠΎΠ΄Π° Π΄ΠΎ 1 ΠΠ°Π½ΡΠ°ΡΠΈ, 2025?
| null | 1,734,697,455,288
| 1,734,942,620,140
| 1,734,942,632,325
|
NO
| 0.504975
| 1
|
IggQl00upy
|
daily-coinflip-cEU2Qc5Uy6
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,734,673,625,545
| 1,734,843,540,000
| 1,734,893,315,171
|
YES
| 0.499
| 4,809.33488
|
PgRU0Ozd2L
|
will-conclusive-evidence-that-someo
|
Did someone try to kill Nick Fuentes?
| null | 1,734,655,523,776
| 1,735,010,512,977
| 1,735,010,512,977
|
YES
| 0.764999
| 103
|
hcP6O6QU8L
|
will-alireza-firouzja-beat-ian-nepo-qI2g89Ac58
|
Will Alireza Firouzja beat Ian Nepomniachtchi in the Champions Chess Tour semifinals?
| null | 1,734,642,154,506
| 1,734,722,572,705
| 1,734,722,572,705
|
NO
| 0.027693
| 927.247361
|
0LEQ6s2REN
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-L58quc2SnN
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 20 than it closed on Dec 19?
| null | 1,734,642,013,734
| 1,734,728,526,239
| 1,734,728,526,239
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,256.432218
|
O5LNdZLuhl
|
will-there-be-a-us-government-shutd-9878106a2b1c--cash
|
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,734,638,014,041
| 1,734,761,152,248
| 1,734,761,450,844
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,207.337953
|
0ccCnSCtNn
|
will-luigi-mangione-plead-guilty-to
|
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty to murder?
| null | 1,734,599,320,593
| 1,734,976,829,072
| 1,734,976,829,072
|
NO
| 0.01455
| 9,137.484158
|
NzllSZZPz9
|
will-we-be-getting-a-bear-market-fo
|
Will we be getting a Bear Market for Christmas following Post-Fed Market sell-off?!
| null | 1,734,582,272,138
| 1,735,335,000,000
| 1,735,348,618,087
|
NO
| 0.395892
| 314.087606
|
PO0SzE05On
|
will-xmr-monero-coin-fall-below-200
|
Will XMR (MONERO) coin fall below $200 by 2025?
| null | 1,734,560,801,862
| 1,734,649,735,479
| 1,734,649,735,479
|
YES
| 0.504975
| 401
|
9hCEOygRy5
|
spx-returns-to-6000-by-eoy
|
SPX returns to 6000 by EOY?
| null | 1,734,559,713,486
| 1,735,092,238,759
| 1,735,092,238,759
|
YES
| 0.956926
| 9,869.02156
|
N9PLy2yZPO
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-90qqEd0d80
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 19 than it closed on Dec 18?
| null | 1,734,555,201,241
| 1,734,642,258,232
| 1,734,642,258,232
|
NO
| 0.151807
| 663.992
|
QznqsPpt6q
|
martin-shkreli-will-galectin-therap
|
[Martin Shkreli] Will Galectin Therapeutics ($GALT) stock plummet due to failure of its "NAVIGATE" Phase II/III study?
| null | 1,734,551,509,438
| 1,734,887,364,651
| 1,734,887,364,651
|
YES
| 0.748443
| 724.887024
|
dz9lzqR8nI
|
test-Pggc9NA2gq
|
Test
| null | 1,734,533,606,945
| 1,734,533,710,416
| 1,734,533,710,416
|
NO
| 0.307692
| 500
|
968PzRUsP2
|
daily-coinflip-uyglutSqu2
|
Daily Coinflip
| null | 1,734,498,377,687
| 1,734,670,740,000
| 1,734,673,601,101
|
YES
| 0.5
| 5,222.070659
|
2gPuq2puCR
|
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-szzyQluQ5I
|
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 188 and 189?
| null | 1,734,471,709,097
| 1,735,678,091,558
| 1,735,678,094,817
|
NO
| 0.5
| 710
|
ulAN0ZRR5d
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-pcL2gcQL0P
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 18 than it closed on Dec 17?
| null | 1,734,471,095,098
| 1,734,555,738,404
| 1,734,555,738,404
|
NO
| 0.016666
| 851.659652
|
tcNRNZSIEz
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-5sl6E9QLd2
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 18 than it closed on Dec 17?
| null | 1,734,470,001,353
| 1,734,555,826,904
| 1,734,555,826,904
|
NO
| 0.021776
| 780
|
g9sl95C96d
|
will-ghostty-will-be-released-in-20
|
Will ghostty will be released in 2024?
| null | 1,734,469,993,963
| 1,735,250,488,615
| 1,735,250,488,615
|
YES
| 0.989897
| 9,590.284246
|
pRUCzQtuz5
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-qEO2NLcRzL
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 18 than it closed on Dec 17?
| null | 1,734,469,296,485
| 1,734,555,772,426
| 1,734,555,772,426
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,114.213574
|
OS0Rydt2R9
|
will-skibidi-toilet-be-in-fortnite
|
Will Skibidi Toilet be in Fortnite by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,734,447,684,672
| 1,734,622,632,228
| 1,734,622,632,228
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,823.724764
|
LnpLRZsOOs
|
will-marvel-rivals-reach-over-400k
|
Will Marvel Rivals reach 400k peak concurrent players on Steam on Dec 23rd?
| null | 1,734,422,114,856
| 1,734,886,800,000
| 1,735,018,261,171
|
NO
| 0.216485
| 2,035
|
QZh89L6gQR
|
boj-raise-rates
|
BOJ raise rates?
| null | 1,734,396,409,955
| 1,735,052,340,000
| 1,735,060,771,587
|
NO
| 0.206543
| 96
|
Uu8uLElzRS
|
will-tesla-shares-reach-500-per-sha
|
Will Tesla shares reach $500 per share before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,734,388,552,283
| 1,735,671,248,682
| 1,735,671,248,682
|
NO
| 0.032541
| 889.394895
|
ZpZg26N2py
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-sZSE55ZAtq
|
Will the S&&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 17 than it closed on Dec 16?
| null | 1,734,382,658,235
| 1,734,469,429,720
| 1,734,469,429,720
|
NO
| 0.01
| 921.531359
|
0ZCgC0AQq5
|
this-market-will-be-resolved-accord
|
This market will be resolved according to the trader with the largest holdings
| null | 1,734,364,700,551
| 1,734,983,940,000
| 1,734,984,047,911
|
YES
| 0.735549
| 238.83974
|
8uCc6thyRN
|
will-i-lose-my-manifold-streak-befo
|
Will I lose my Manifold streak before my NYT Crossword streak?
| null | 1,734,353,025,167
| 1,734,978,424,503
| 1,734,978,424,503
|
YES
| 0.498556
| 38
|
9ZISlAz9lL
|
daily-coinflip-258dUOdC0y
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,734,329,023,019
| 1,734,497,940,000
| 1,734,498,322,931
|
YES
| 0.503533
| 13,932.809393
|
8lZ85Q6OAn
|
will-bitcoin-hit-108k-in-december
|
Will Bitcoin hit $108K in December?
| null | 1,734,307,778,938
| 1,734,842,342,935
| 1,734,842,342,935
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,131.756084
|
C8RLZlUs0h
|
-2024-nfl-will-any-week-17-game-end
|
π 2024 NFL: Will any Week 17 game end in Scorigami?
| null | 1,734,307,365,740
| 1,735,621,140,000
| 1,735,631,426,431
|
NO
| 0.055469
| 1,138.706403
|
8CdnN606hz
|
-2024-nfl-will-any-week-16-game-end
|
π 2024 NFL: Will any Week 16 game end in Scorigami?
| null | 1,734,307,080,400
| 1,735,016,340,000
| 1,735,251,789,224
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
gz8zUyp680
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-dR9UgIE850
|
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 62 and 63?
| null | 1,734,280,013,493
| 1,734,901,345,213
| 1,734,901,347,750
|
NO
| 0.438323
| 132
|
cc2sLZ6StZ
|
daily-coinflip-UzIIR6qutQ
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,734,234,494,482
| 1,734,325,140,000
| 1,734,329,005,276
|
NO
| 0.490494
| 2,564.147941
|
qSScUyZCOR
|
new-significant-evidence-of-foul-pl
|
New significant evidence of foul play in Suchir Balaji's death before end January 2025
| null | 1,734,200,901,570
| 1,735,524,839,756
| 1,735,524,839,756
|
YES
| 0.486906
| 316.122774
|
CEd0LUpcnQ
|
will-tesla-share-price-reach-450-or
|
Will Tesla share price reach $450 or above before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,734,143,275,780
| 1,734,365,097,664
| 1,734,365,097,664
|
YES
| 0.841946
| 210
|
Zn2I6ZU8Sp
|
will-the-second-impeachment-motion
|
Will the second impeachment motion against President Yoon pass?
| null | 1,734,141,016,494
| 1,734,163,253,838
| 1,734,163,253,838
|
YES
| 0.807973
| 1,500
|
IsNAnQZ0h9
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-lZPg0yIdhP
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 16 than it closed on Dec 13?
| null | 1,734,122,974,863
| 1,734,382,964,792
| 1,734,382,964,792
|
YES
| 0.99
| 985.798954
|
5ncpAZdEtz
|
sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-dece-RqSRg9UP2t
|
S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday December 27th 2024 Than It Closed On Friday December 20th 2024?
| null | 1,734,109,914,689
| 1,735,309,800,000
| 1,735,333,420,877
|
YES
| 0.584561
| 311
|
nILzyINECR
|
sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-dece
|
S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday December 20th 2024 Than It Closed On Friday December 13th 2024?
| null | 1,734,109,879,993
| 1,734,705,000,000
| 1,734,728,953,623
|
NO
| 0.089929
| 3,053.890014
|
8s0O6qsN0s
|
will-the-neurips-poster-printing-se
|
Will the NeurIPS poster printing service have our poster ready in time?
| null | 1,734,106,799,757
| 1,734,115,950,495
| 1,734,115,950,495
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,661.635643
|
UNsd89ysyU
|
will-i-need-to-eat-more-than-100mg
|
Will I need to eat more than 100mg acarbose at Minifest 2024?
| null | 1,734,053,702,046
| 1,734,407,369,070
| 1,734,407,369,070
|
NO
| 0.501189
| 10
|
zIIOIZuSlZ
|
will-bitcoin-hit-105k-in-december
|
Will Bitcoin hit $105K in December?
| null | 1,734,050,996,095
| 1,734,307,540,122
| 1,734,307,540,122
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,770.135345
|
0pNyypL9E2
|
will-a-new-halflife-game-be-announc
|
Will a new half-life game be announced at the 2024 Game Awards?
| null | 1,734,045,210,264
| 1,734,062,986,448
| 1,734,062,986,448
|
NO
| 0.011309
| 1,645
|
UNOhIpOlEg
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-6ClSNgy6R5
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 13 than it closed on Dec 12?
| null | 1,734,041,062,102
| 1,734,123,781,778
| 1,734,123,781,778
|
NO
| 0.412929
| 409.995094
|
ZcuhL80In5
|
resolves-05-sinsqrta-b-05-where-a-b
|
Resolves @ 0.5 * sin(sqrt(a + b)) + 0.5, where a = biggest YES holder's # of shares and b = biggest NO holder's # shares
| null | 1,734,036,347,570
| 1,734,674,340,000
| 1,734,675,079,775
|
YES
| 0.7
| 1,070.717064
|
IpUqc5tycC
|
will-the-baltimore-ravens-claw-the-pZy6AI0h2u
|
Will the Baltimore Ravens claw the Houston Texans? π|π
(Christmas Day)
| null | 1,734,024,844,647
| 1,735,178,410,788
| 1,735,178,410,788
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,090.83137
|
ZqEcpUsNZU
|
will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-tomahaw-U9p8yUS6pS
|
Will the Kansas City Chiefs tomahawk the Pittsburgh Steelers? π|π
(Christmas Day)
| null | 1,734,024,769,607
| 1,735,178,550,737
| 1,735,178,550,737
|
YES
| 0.989954
| 9,276
|
yCOE5ZAp9Z
|
tug-of-war-8dCE9AuCzE
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,734,018,079,208
| 1,734,152,340,000
| 1,734,228,656,240
|
YES
| 0.692308
| 50
|
zppuqUnlqS
|
daily-coinflip-tg2ysz0qP2
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,733,987,187,387
| 1,734,152,340,000
| 1,734,234,484,238
|
NO
| 0.5
| 5,363.503368
|
d59OQIELyQ
|
will-chatgpt-be-fully-back-up-by-64
|
Will chatGPT be fully back up by 6:45pm PT
| null | 1,733,970,592,186
| 1,733,971,411,472
| 1,733,971,411,472
|
YES
| 0.504975
| 10
|
0OdpLEd6zN
|
will-the-openai-outage-be-resolved
|
Will the OpenAI outage be resolved before the end of the day?
| null | 1,733,966,985,847
| 1,733,990,400,000
| 1,733,990,539,761
|
YES
| 0.859173
| 147
|
L0RQP8zcLh
|
will-codebuff-work-in-an-hour
|
Will Codebuff work in an hour? (at 6:15 PT)
| null | 1,733,966,096,235
| 1,733,969,700,000
| 1,733,971,025,095
|
NO
| 0.339328
| 55
|
uhI60QPh0S
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-OQqgpP2hEU
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 12 than it closed on Dec 11?
| null | 1,733,951,368,236
| 1,734,038,193,832
| 1,734,038,193,832
|
NO
| 0.01
| 904.749342
|
Up0RdEpPRI
|
will-luigi-mangione-be-extradited-t
|
Will Luigi Mangione be extradited to New York before 2025?
| null | 1,733,935,812,415
| 1,734,646,766,711
| 1,734,646,766,711
|
YES
| 0.991625
| 1,542.991531
|
l9LIqcnh8g
|
will-scott-alexander-or-aella-speak
|
Will Scott Alexander or Aella speak at Solstice?
| null | 1,733,929,916,772
| 1,734,862,734,305
| 1,734,862,734,305
|
YES
| 0.981075
| 620
|
RIgPLdU6h9
|
will-deepseek-release-a-deepseek-v3
|
Will DeepSeek release a DeepSeek V3 model by the end of Q1 2025
| null | 1,733,923,231,727
| 1,735,191,610,387
| 1,735,191,610,387
|
YES
| 0.939162
| 2,929
|
sQQ6ug5yQz
|
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-sIcRLnCyS8
|
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 187 and 188?
| null | 1,733,898,872,832
| 1,734,471,682,198
| 1,734,471,685,096
|
NO
| 0.470898
| 60
|
562Lp6z5qA
|
will-austin-tice-be-found-and-reuni
|
Will Austin Tice be found and reunited with his family before December 25th, 2024
| null | 1,733,884,815,192
| 1,735,143,307,299
| 1,735,143,307,299
|
NO
| 0.051751
| 336
|
qhpOPtEpu2
|
will-rory-mcilroy-and-scottie-schef--cash
|
Will Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler win The Showdown on December 17?
| null | 1,733,856,924,079
| 1,734,504,918,007
| 1,734,572,499,663
|
YES
| 0.990962
| 577.368036
|
End of preview. Expand
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